Political Notes

[wlotus]

Thank You, Mr. Smiley

I may need to pay more attention to Tavis Smiley as a journalist. Thank goodness for objectivity.

Obama Fundraising Drops Like A Stone

Not only that, but McCain and Obama are equal in the polls.

Comments

[ciardhapagan.livejournal.com]

The Associated Press poll, it's been widely reported all over the news media, just two percentage points. And unlike most of the other polls, their poll actually got the responses of a more than a handfull of people statistically. The polls showing a wide margin have had samples of less than 100 people and 80% hang up rates. The truth is, it is very close to a tie when you can actually get a sample of any size.

[rbl.livejournal.com]

like the AP poll (http://surveys.ap.org/data/GfK/AP-GfK%20Poll%203%20Topline%20FINAL%20trunc.pdf), Gallup's presidential surveys are conducted with a sample size no fewer than 1,000. their data (http://www.gallup.com/poll/111436/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Keeps-Lead-Among-Likely-Voters.aspx) suggests a significant lead, at least greater than the sampling error. but it is always better to have more than one source. Rasmsussen, reports (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll) similar figures, with a full sample of 3000 people over three night. but i guess it depends on what you a consider a wide margin.